The NCAA is showing their money greed again for the major conferences and they want to add 32 at-large teams to the tournament. This is a really bad idea for several reasons.
1. The regular season gets diluted even more.
2. The excitement of the tournament will be lost if brackets either (a) have to be turned in sooner, or (b) has less turnaround time after this new first round.
3. Most importantly, a 16 seed has never won. This either shows that the tournament has it perfect, or they need to get rid of automatic bids.
If you were to take the RPI from 2/2, and simply took the top 64 teams, 24 would come from mid-majors. If you used KenPom, you would have 21 teams.
Since the RPI originated in 1994, only three teams with an RPI higher than 96 have ever won an NCAA Tournament game. Only 14 teams with an RPI higher than 64 have won a NCAA Tournament game, and it has only happened in 8 years out of 16. It only has a 50-50 chance of happening. That seems like it is perfectly calibrated in its current state.
I would love to hear other thoughts on this...
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