Monday, February 8, 2010

Updated Models - No Repeat Final 4 Participant?

The models have been updated this morning.  Here is our Final 4 short list:

1.  Kansas
2.  Kentucky
3.  Duke
4.  Syracuse
5.  Georgetown
6.  Wisconsin
7.  Michigan State
8.  Texas
9.  Villanova

Now, the bottom 3 are on the brink of following off the list.   Texas is currently 22nd in the RPI, our lower level threshold.  Michigan State and Villanova, are nearly ready to fall off the short list, based on their on-the court productivity.

If that happens, we are down to 6.  Duke doesn't pass the eye ball test with their lack of points in the pain.  They are reaching our upper limit on % of points from 3.

If you believe that 2 teams will come from one conference and that conference is the Big East, you are looking at Georgetown and Syracuse.  Kansas has our next strongest rating.  That leaves the last slot a battle between Wisconsin and Kentucky.

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