Here is my latest Final 4 Projections based on the rules I've generated from 25 years of NCAA Tournament history along with their latest RPI Ranking and (Joe Lunardi's current Bracketology Seed):
Villanova, 4 (1)
Michigan State, 10 (2)
Texas, 19 (2)
Kansas, 1 (1)
Duke, 5 (3)
Georgetown, 3 (2)
Syracuse, 2 (1)
Wisconsin, 13 (4)
Kentucky, 7 (1)
Villanova and/or Michigan State are highly likely to make the Final 4 as one team from last year's Final 4 typically makes it.
We are also expecting 2 teams from one conference.
We also expect the combined RPI to be between 26 and 44. This rules looks like it may be challenged on the lower limit based on current performance.
Lastly, we expect the cumulative seed total to fall between 6 and 11.
We have shifted our two teams from one conference from the Big 12 to the Big East. We believe that the Big East will have an easier path to accomplish this as Villanova will probably be in the East and Syracuse in the West. Kansas and Texas are likely to have to go through Kentucky, Duke, Michigan State, and Wisconsin in some capacity. Also, these teams will be playing in a dome so teams that rely too heavily on 3 pointers may be in for a rude awakening, unless they have played games in a dome earlier in the season.
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