We have seen some strong shifts in the model based on the first two nights of the NCAA.
First, the CAA and the A-10 are looking stronger.
Secondly, the MWC, Big Sky, Pac-10, Big East, and Big Ten are looking weaker.
By default, the Big 12 and SEC have moved up in many head-to-head match-ups.
BYU-Kansas State: now leans towards Kansas State. This does have ramifications on our Elite 8. Xavier is now in play to make the Elite 8 based on over-ride rules, rather than BYU.
Texas A&M has not surpassed Utah State in our models, but they are now much stronger against them. Easily the closest game in our model. If you are in Vegas, take the underdog regardless.
Vanderbilt is also looking stronger against Murray State, but this was an over-ride pick originally. We still like Vanderbilt head-to-head, but the long term bracket trends likes Murray State.
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